Canada Lotto Max Statistical Analysis Report

Executive Summary

This report provides a comprehensive statistical analysis of the Canada Lotto Max lottery, focusing on the most recent draw and its context within historical data. The analysis reveals that while the lottery demonstrates a high degree of randomness, certain statistical anomalies and short-term patterns are observable. The most recent draw (January 20, 2026) shows a significant deviation from the long-term average sum and exhibits a notable concentration of numbers in the lower half of the number field. Historical data indicates that numbers 43, 21, and 9 have been exceptionally hot over the last month, while a significant portion of the number pool (e.g., 1, 4, 7, 8, 10, 16, 19, 23-29, 35, 40) has remained cold. The bonus number distribution shows a pronounced bias towards specific last digits in the short term, a pattern that typically regresses to the mean over longer periods.

Current Draw Micro-Analysis: Draw #2026-01-20

The draw on January 20, 2026, produced the following numbers: 3, 9, 15, 17, 22, 31, 33 with a bonus number of 50.

Sum Analysis:

• Total Sum: 130
• Comparison: This sum of 130 is significantly lower than all historical baselines. It falls into the "121-160" bucket, which is a less frequent sum range historically.
  • 1-Month Avg: 189.1
  • 3-Month Avg: 185.1
  • 1-Year Avg: 181.7
  • 3-Year Avg: 176.5
• Implication: This is a low-sum outlier, occurring in only 12.5% of recent draws (1-month data) and 20-27% of draws over longer periods. Such deviations often precede a correction towards higher sums.

Odd/Even Parity:

• Distribution: 5 Odd (3, 9, 15, 17, 31) / 2 Even (22, 33)
• Pattern: A 5 Odd / 2 Even split. This is a moderately common pattern, representing 25% of draws in the last month and 17.3% of draws over the past year. It falls within the most common parity range (3 Odd/4 Even and 4 Odd/3 Even), which together account for over 70% of all historical draws.

Number Section Distribution (G1:1-9, G2:10-18, G3:19-27, G4:28-36, G5:37-50):

• Pattern: [2, 2, 1, 2, 0]
• Analysis: This draw is characterized by a complete absence of numbers from the highest band (G5: 37-50) among the main numbers, with the bonus number (50) being the sole representative. The concentration is heavily skewed towards the lower half of the number field (G1-G4). This specific pattern occurred in 12.5% of the last 8 draws but is less common over longer horizons.

Consecutive Numbers:

• Present: No consecutive pairs were drawn in the main set.
• Context: Over the last month, 37.5% of draws contained at least one consecutive pair. The absence in this draw is not statistically unusual.

Last Digit Analysis:

• Main Set Digits: 3, 9, 5, 7, 2, 1, 3.
• Uniqueness: 5 unique last digits (1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9 - with '3' repeated). This matches the 1-month average of 5.75 unique last digits per draw.
• Bonus Digit: The bonus number 50 ends in 0. The last digit '0' has been slightly underrepresented in main draws over the past month (5.36% vs. 8.89% expected) but appeared in 12.5% of recent bonus draws.

Historical Comparison & Hot/Cold Number Tracking

A comparative analysis of number frequency across different timeframes reveals significant volatility in "hot" and "cold" numbers.

Hot Numbers (High Frequency)

The table below shows the most frequently drawn main numbers across four time horizons.

Critical Observation: The extreme heat of number 43 in the last month (62.5%) is a stark statistical anomaly. Its frequency over 3 months (32%) is still high but shows regression. Over 3 years, its frequency (13.7%) is actually slightly below average, demonstrating how short-term "hot streaks" are often corrections from previous cold periods.

Cold Numbers (Low Frequency)

The table below highlights the least frequently drawn main numbers in the recent period.

Analyst's Note: The current cold streak for numbers like 1, 4, 7, 8, 10, 16, 19, 23-29, 35, and 40 is statistically overdue for a correction. Lottery theory suggests that while numbers are not "due," extended absences often end.

Structural Trends & Pattern Analysis

Sum Range Distribution

The sum of the seven main numbers is a key macro-indicator.

The current low sum (130) is a departure from the recent trend favoring higher sums (161+). The 1-month data shows 87.5% of draws had sums above 160, making this draw a notable low outlier.

Odd/Even Ratio Stability

The parity split (Odd/Even) shows remarkable consistency over time.

The current draw's 5 Odd / 2 Even pattern is the third most common, occurring in roughly one of every six draws historically.

Section Distribution Patterns

The five number bands (G1-G5) reveal how numbers are spread across the range.

• Dominant Band: The G5 band (37-45) is consistently the most populated section across all timeframes. In the last month, it averaged 2.38 numbers per draw, far above the other bands.
• Current Draw Anomaly: The complete lack of main numbers in G5 (0) is a significant deviation. The bonus number (50) partially compensates, but the main set's concentration in G1-G4 is unusual given the historical strength of G5.
• Pattern Recurrence: The most common section pattern over the past year is [1, 1, 1, 2, 2], appearing in 4.8% of draws. The current pattern [2, 2, 1, 2, 0] is a rarer variant.

Bonus Ball Evolution & Last Digit Analysis

The bonus number provides an additional layer of data for pattern recognition.

Bonus Number Frequency

• Last Month: Bonus numbers showed a strong bias towards last digit '9' (37.5% - numbers 19, 49, 49). Digits '3' and '4' were also overrepresented.
• Last 3 Months: The bias persists, with last digits '4', '9', and '5' being most frequent (20%, 20%, 16% respectively).
• Last Year: Distribution begins to normalize, though digits '4' (16.35%), '5' (13.46%), and '9' (11.54%) remain slightly elevated.
• 3 Years: The distribution is much flatter, with digits '4' (13.74%), '0' (12.78%), '2' (11.5%), and '3' (11.18%) leading.
• Insight: The recent extreme clustering of bonus numbers ending in '9' and '4' is a short-term anomaly that is statistically likely to dissipate.

Main Draw Last Digit Trends

• Last Month: Last digits 1, 2, 3, 6 were significantly overrepresented.
• Long-Term (3 Years): The distribution is relatively balanced, with digits 6, 2, 0, 5, 1 being the top five. Digit '6' ending numbers have been the most frequent over the full 3-year dataset.
• Current Draw Digits: The set {1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 9} aligns with recent over-performance of digits 1, 2, 3, while digit '7' (underrepresented last month) made an appearance.

Conclusion: Analyst's Take on Current Volatility

The Canada Lotto Max draw on January 20, 2026, presents a statistically unusual profile characterized by a very low sum (130) and a complete avoidance of the historically dominant high-number band (37-45). This draw acts as a counterbalance to the recent trend of high-sum, G5-heavy draws.

Key Takeaways for Players:

1. Regression to the Mean Imminent: The extreme "hot" status of numbers like 43 and the "cold" streak of nearly 20 other numbers cannot be sustained. The lottery machine is likely to correct these imbalances soon.
2. Sum Rebound Probable: Following a very low-sum draw, probability favors a return to sums in the 161-200 range, which is the most common bucket historically.
3. Section Rebalancing: The complete absence of numbers from the 37-45 range in the main draw is anomalous. It is statistically probable that the next few draws will see a return of numbers from this hot zone.
4. Bonus Digit Diversification: The heavy clustering of bonus numbers ending in '9' is a short-term fluke. Expect a wider variety of last digits in upcoming bonus draws.

Final Verdict: The current data indicates a lottery in a phase of short-term volatility. The recent draw (#2026-01-20) represents a statistical outlier in several dimensions. While true randomness means any pattern can be broken, the mathematical expectation is for a reversion towards longer-term averages in sum, section distribution, and hot/cold number frequencies in the draws immediately following this analysis.

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Disclaimer: This report is a statistical analysis for informational purposes only. Lottery draws are random independent events. Past performance does not predict future results. Please play responsibly.