USA Mega Millions Lotto: Statistical Pattern Analysis

USA Mega Millions Statistical Analysis Report

1. Executive Summary

This report provides a comprehensive statistical analysis of the USA Mega Millions lottery, focusing on the latest draw (2026-01-16) and comparing it against recent and historical data. The analysis examines number frequencies, sum patterns, parity, section distributions, and bonus ball behavior across various timeframes (1 month, 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years). The lottery, by its nature, is fundamentally random. However, analyzing historical data reveals trends, anomalies, and potential deviations from expected probabilities that can inform strategic decision-making. The current draw exhibits some interesting characteristics that warrant further investigation within the broader context of historical data. The report aims to identify potential patterns and assess the current draw's position relative to these patterns.

2. Current Draw Micro-Analysis (2026-01-16)

The most recent draw, held on 2026-01-16, produced the following numbers: [2, 22, 33, 42, 67] with a Mega Ball of 1.

• Sum Analysis: The sum of the white balls is 166. This falls within the "161-200" range based on the 1-month cluster data.

• Parity: The draw consists of two even numbers (2, 22, 42) and three odd numbers (33, 67). This is a 2/3 even/odd split.

• Section Distribution:

  • G1 (1-14): 1 number (2)
  • G2 (15-28): 1 number (22)
  • G3 (29-42): 2 numbers (33, 42)
  • G4 (43-56): 0 numbers
  • G5 (57-70): 1 number (67)

  This section distribution is represented by the pattern [1, 1, 2, 0, 1].

• Consecutive Numbers: There are no consecutive numbers in this draw.

3. Historical Comparison: Hot/Cold Numbers

This section analyzes the frequency of numbers across different timeframes to identify hot (frequently drawn) and cold (infrequently drawn) numbers.

3.1. 1-Month Baseline (December 23, 2025 - January 16, 2026)

• Most Frequent Numbers:
  • 64 (3 times)
  • 9, 42, 43, 47, 63 (2 times each)
• Least Frequent Numbers:
  • Many numbers have not appeared at all in the last month.

3.2. 1-Year Baseline (January 21, 2025 - January 16, 2026)

• Most Frequent Numbers:
  • 31 (14 times)
  • 10, 42, 56 (13 times each)
• Least Frequent Numbers:
  • 51 (2 times)

3.3. 3-Year Baseline (January 24, 2023 - January 16, 2026)

• Most Frequent Numbers:
  • 10 (34 times)
  • 42 (32 times)
  • 66 (31 times)
• Least Frequent Numbers:
  • 7, 25, 34, 36, 51, 53, 60, 67, 68, 70 (13 or fewer times)

3.4. 5-Year Baseline (January 22, 2021 - January 16, 2026)

• Most Frequent Numbers:
  • 10 (49 times)
  • 18, 19, 66 (47 times each)
• Least Frequent Numbers:
  • 7, 25, 34, 36, 51, 60, 67, 70 (27 or fewer times)

Table: Number Frequency Comparison

4. Structural Trends: Sum Range and Parity Stability

• Sum Range: The average sum of the white balls in the 1-month period is 195.9, and the current draw's sum of 166 falls within the "161-200" range. The 1-year average is 170.9, the 3-year average is 175.2, and the 5-year average is 172.9. This suggests that the sum of the current draw is slightly lower than the 1-month average, but within the expected range based on longer-term data.
• Parity: The parity distribution in the current draw (2 even, 3 odd) is a common occurrence. The 1-month data shows a fairly even distribution of odd/even combinations. The 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year data suggest that the 3/2 odd/even split is a more common occurrence than the 0/5 or 5/0 split.

Table: Sum Range Distribution

5. Bonus Evolution

The Mega Ball (bonus ball) is a crucial element of the game. Analyzing its behavior over time can provide insights into potential patterns.

• 1-Month Analysis: The most frequent bonus ball in the last month was 4 (2 times).
• 1-Year Analysis: The most frequent bonus balls in the last year were 1 and 16 (8 times each).
• 3-Year Analysis: The most frequent bonus ball in the last three years was 24 (19 times).
• 5-Year Analysis: The most frequent bonus ball over the last five years was 18 (34 times).

Table: Bonus Ball Frequency

6. Conclusion

The current draw (2026-01-16) presents a combination of numbers and patterns that, while not statistically extraordinary, are worth noting. The sum falls within the expected range, and the parity distribution is typical. The section distribution [1, 1, 2, 0, 1] is not particularly common in the 1-month data. The most frequent numbers over the past month, year, and longer timeframes show a degree of volatility, with some numbers appearing more frequently in the recent past. The Mega Ball selection of 1 is a frequently drawn number over the 1-year baseline. Overall, the current draw does not exhibit any strong deviations from expected probabilities based on the provided historical data. However, continued monitoring of these trends is recommended to identify any emerging patterns or shifts in number frequencies.

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