USA Mega Millions Statistical Analysis Report

Executive Summary

This report provides a comprehensive statistical analysis of the USA Mega Millions lottery, focusing on recent trends and historical data to identify potential patterns and anomalies. While lottery outcomes are inherently random, analyzing historical data can reveal deviations from expected distributions, offering insights into number behavior. The analysis covers the most recent draw, recent sequences, and multi-temporal statistics spanning one month, one year, three years, and five years. We examine number frequency, sum distributions, odd/even ratios, sectional distributions, consecutive numbers, last digits, and bonus ball behavior to assess the current state of the game and identify potential areas of interest. The data suggests a recent increase in higher sum totals compared to longer-term averages, and some deviations in last digit distributions of the bonus ball.

Current Draw Micro-Analysis (2026-01-20)

The latest Mega Millions draw on January 20, 2026, yielded the numbers [8, 47, 50, 56, 70] with a Mega Ball of 12. A brief analysis of this draw reveals the following:

• Sum: The sum of the main numbers is 231, placing it firmly in the "201+" bucket.
• Parity: The draw consisted of one odd number (47) and four even numbers (8, 50, 56, 70).
• Sections: The numbers are distributed across the following sections: G1 (8), G4 (47, 50, 56), and G5 (70).
• Deviation: The sum is significantly higher than the 1-year and 3-year average sums of 171.5 and 175.4 respectively, indicating a recent trend toward higher sums. The odd/even distribution is also skewed towards even numbers compared to the historical average.

Historical Comparison: Hot and Cold Numbers

This section compares the most and least frequent numbers across different timeframes to identify "hot" and "cold" numbers.

Main Numbers

Observations:

• Number 10 is consistently a "hot" number over longer timeframes (3 and 5 years).
• Numbers 31 and 56 have been frequently drawn in the past year, but not in the last month.
• The "coldest" numbers vary significantly across timeframes, suggesting that periods of low frequency are often followed by periods of higher frequency.

Bonus Numbers

Observations:

• Bonus number 18 is the most frequent over 5 years.
• Bonus number 24 is the most frequent over 3 years.
• Bonus numbers 1 and 16 are the most frequent over the last year.
• The least frequent bonus numbers vary significantly across timeframes.

Structural Trends: Sum Range and Parity Stability

Sum Range

Observations:

• The 1-month data shows a significant shift towards higher sum ranges ("161-200" and "201+") compared to the longer-term averages. This suggests a recent trend towards draws with higher total values.

Parity (Odd/Even Distribution)

The "best range pct" indicates the percentage of draws falling within the most common odd/even distributions.

Observations:

• The best range percentage is lower in the 1-month data (66.7%) compared to the longer-term averages (76.2% - 79.3%). This indicates more variability in the odd/even distribution of recent draws.

Bonus Evolution: Tracking Bonus Balls Behavior

This section analyzes the last digits distribution of the bonus balls.

Observations:

• The digit '4' is consistently among the top last digits for bonus balls across all timeframes.
• The distribution of last digits in the bonus ball appears to be more volatile in the short term (1 month) compared to longer periods.

Conclusion: Analyst's Take on Current Volatility

The recent Mega Millions draws exhibit a higher degree of volatility compared to longer-term historical averages. The sum of the drawn numbers is trending higher, and the odd/even distribution is showing more variability. While the lottery is inherently random, these short-term deviations may be of interest to players who incorporate statistical analysis into their number selection strategies. It's important to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results, and every draw is an independent event.