USA Powerball Statistical Analysis Report

Executive Summary

This report presents a rigorous, data-driven view of the USA Powerball drawing conducted on 2026-02-14, with a 1-month baseline (13 draws), and longer baselines (3 months, 1 year, and 3 years) drawn from the provided multi-temporal statistics. The core objective is to illuminate statistical patterns, anomalies, and recurrent tendencies within the context of a large-lottery game structure (5/69 white balls, 1/26 red Powerball). Key takeaways:

• The current draw (23, 43, 58, 60, 64) with Powerball 24 produced a grand total of 248 for the white-ball sum, placing it in the high tail (201+) of the observed sums. Relative to longer baselines, this sits above the 1-month, 3-month, 1-year, and 3-year averages (≈175±), but remains within plausible natural variability for a 5-number draw without replacement.

• Parity (odd vs even) in the present results is close to balanced (2 odd, 3 even). Across baselines, parity tends toward a near-even split with occasional slight bias depending on the sample window; the 1-month baseline shows a modest tilt toward even numbers in aggregate.

• Band (G1–G5) distribution shows the current draw to be concentrated in the higher bands (G4–G5), with 58, 60, and 64 all falling in the top G5 band. The G3 band (29–42) is not represented among the drawn whites, which contributes to the perceived “top-heavy” sum.

• Consecutive-number patterns are not pronounced in this draw (no immediate consecutive pairs among the five white numbers). The 1-month baseline, however, notes a modest occurrence of consecutive patterns in some draws (two draws with consecutive pairs in the recent window).

• Last-digit distribution (main numbers) over the last month shows a mild skew toward certain final digits, notably digit 8 appearing more frequently than the uniform expectation. The short baseline can create apparent biases that average out over longer windows, but these patterns persist as a useful descriptive lens.

• Bonus (Powerball) evolution over the 1-month window shows two draws with bonus numbers repeated (5 and 24) Each occurred twice. The distribution is reasonably dispersed in longer baselines, with no single bonus number dominating across multi-year windows (though some digits appear more frequently than others within specific baselines).

• The multi-temporal analytics (1m, 3m, 1y, 3y) show the system’s sums, parity, and band distributions drifting within expected randomness bands, without a single, robust, exploitable edge. The analysis reinforces that Lottery draws remain stochastic processes with short-term volatility and long-run stability in aggregate.

Current Draw Micro-Analysis

Drawing detail:

• Draw date: 2026-02-14
• White-ball numbers: 23, 43, 58, 60, 64
• Powerball (red): 24
• Prize context from the recent draws: the round on 2026-02-14 posted a headline prize of about $154 million (before any potential multiplier). Multiplier observed in the recent draws for this date set included a 2x on the 14th.

Computed characteristics of the 02/14/2026 draw:

• Sum of white numbers: 23 + 43 + 58 + 60 + 64 = 248
• Parity: 2 odd (23, 43) and 3 even (58, 60, 64); distribution favors even slightly in this instance.
• Band distribution (1-69 mapping into 5 bands):
  • G1 (1-14): 0 numbers
  • G2 (15-28): 1 number (23)
  • G3 (29-42): 0 numbers
  • G4 (43-56): 1 number (43)
  • G5 (57-69): 3 numbers (58, 60, 64)
• Consecutive relationships:
  • Among the five white numbers, there are no consecutive pairs (e.g., 58 and 59, or 59 and 60, etc.). Notable, however, is that 58 and 60 are separated by a gap of 2, which is a minor clustering feature but not a true consecutive pair.
• Last-digit pattern (main numbers):
  • Final digits: 3, 3, 8, 0, 4
  • Observed distribution skews toward digits 3 and 8 in this sample; digits 0, 4 appear once, respectively.
• Bonus (Powerball) analysis:
  • Bonus number for this draw: 24
  • Relative to the 1-month baseline, the 24 bonus appears as one of the more frequently drawn bonus numbers in this window, tied with other digits at a modest two-occurrence level.

Historical Comparison (Hot/Cold Numbers by Baseline Window)

This section highlights hot and cold numbers across the four baselines provided in the JSON data. The aim is to convey recurring tendencies and potential divergence across time windows.

• 1-Month Baseline (13 draws, 2026-01-17 to 2026-02-14)
  • Hot main numbers (highest frequency, count = 3): 8, 27, 40, 58, 60, 63
  • Minor hot candidate: 2 (count = 2)
  • Bonus hot (1-month): 5 and 24 (each count = 2)
• 3-Month Baseline
  • Hot main numbers (top counts): 28 (9), 5 (7), 51 (7), 8 (6), 58 (6)
  • Other notable mentions: 18 (5), 19 (5)
  • Bonus hot (3-month): distribution shows multiple digits with elevated counts (no single dominant bonus number)
• 1-Year Baseline
  • Hot main numbers (top five): 33 (47), 27 (46), 28 (46), 21 (44), 24 (43)
  • Other notable mentions: 64 (43), 43 (42)
  • Bonus hot (1-year): a spread among several bonus digits, indicating broader dispersion than the 1-month window
• 3-Year Baseline
  • Hot main numbers (top five): 28 (47), 23 (46), 52 (46), 53 (46), 40 (44)
  • Additional strong entries: 4 (43), 8 (43)
  • Bonus hot (3-year): multiple digits show elevated counts, with notable concentration around a subset of the bonus digits but no single number dominating across the full window

A compact comparative snapshot (main numbers only)

• 1m top: {8, 27, 40, 58, 60, 63}
• 3m top: {28, 5, 51, 8, 58}
• 1y top: {33, 27, 28, 21, 24}
• 3y top: {28, 23, 52, 53, 40}

Structural Trends: Sum Range and Parity Stability

• Sum behavior:

  • 1-month baseline average sum: 176.5
  • 3-month baseline average sum: 171.5
  • 1-year baseline average sum: 175.3
  • 3-year baseline average sum: 175.0
  • Observed current sum (248) sits well above all four baselines’ means, occupying the 201+ bucket. This aligns with a higher-than-average draw in the short term, but is not unprecedented given the 13-draw sample window.

• Parity dynamics:

  • The 1-month baseline distribution of odd/even demonstrates a broad spread across outcomes with a best-range percentile around 76.9%, indicating substantial variability in parity across draws.
  • Across longer baselines (3m, 1y, 3y), parity tends toward near-even distributions with occasional modest skews toward one side or the other, reflecting the random nature of number selection under uniform constraints.

• Band dynamics:

  • The 1-month “top_band” is G3 (29-42) in several descriptive patterns, but the current draw is concentrated in G4 and G5, which is consistent with a larger-than-average sum. Over longer baselines, no persistent bias toward a single band emerges; the distributions show the standard spread across bands with frequent visits to G2–G5.

Bonus Evolution: Behavior of Bonus Balls Over Time

• 1-Month Baseline: The bonus ball shows two recurring digits at the top (5 and 24), each appearing twice out of 13 draws (roughly 15%). Other digits display lower, scattered frequencies.
• 3-Month Baseline and beyond: Bonus digits show broader dispersion with several digits clustering around 7–11% in relative frequency, but no single digit dominates across the full 3-year window.
• Practical takeaway: The Powerball bonus ball remains a high-variance component, with no stable, exploitable pattern across the provided baselines. This aligns with the general understanding that the Powerball draw’s numerical components maintain stochastic behavior with long-run stability.

Conclusion: Analyst’s Take on Current Volatility

• The 2026-02-14 draw demonstrates normal-to-high variance within the context of the 5/69 + 1/26 structure. The white-ball sum sits in a high-range bucket, but this is not, on its own, a strong predictor of future draws. The parity and band distributions reflect expected variability; there is nothing in the 02/14/2026 draw that signals a sustained deviation from randomness.

• The hot-number pattern across baselines confirms that some numbers recur with modest frequency over short windows (1m) and that longer windows reveal broader dispersion. This is consistent with independence assumptions and uniform probability across the 69 possible white-ball values.

• Bonus evolution remains a diffuse landscape; while 5 and 24 appear more frequently in the 1-month window, longer baselines show a more dispersed distribution. As such, a disciplined approach to betting or selection should emphasize diversification and avoid over-reliance on any single bonus digit.

• Practical guidance for players:

  • Do not use the current draw’s sum alone as a predictive signal; incorporate multi-window baselines to contextualize any single draw’s characteristics.
  • If you use patterns, consider a composite approach: balance (parity, band coverage) and moderate attention to last-digit variety, while avoiding overfitting to 1-month idiosyncrasies.
  • Maintain a diversified set of numbers that reflects the long-run historical distribution across 3-year baselines, rather than chasing short-term anomalies.

• In sum, this report reinforces the fundamental principle of Lottery analysis: while short-term volatility exists, long-run statistics align with a random-wairing model across the vast space of possible outcomes. The 2026-02-14 draw is a valid realization within those dynamics, and its observed properties are broadly consistent with the historical record.

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